As mentioned in Part II of my 2011 Forecast series, alien disclosure in the fall of 2011 will create a striking before and after script for the year. However, it will take some months before the impact of disclosure results in substantive change. The exception to this is in the area of energy technologies.
There is currently upheaval, revolution, and chaos in North Africa and Middle Eastern countries. With Gaddafi’s imminent fall in Libya, this will make three long term autocrats who have been kicked out of power. We want to know how far the revolutionary wave will go in 2011 and how many more regimes will fall. Also, what type of governance will replace the fallen dictators?
The worst case scenario, Islamic radicals and fundamentalists taking over in Tunisia, Egypt, or Libya, is not going to happen. It will be months and even years before the outcome of the people’s revolution is fully manifested.
What I see happening relatively quickly are some really positive steps towards human rights and democracy. However, they will still fall short of addressing the full extent of the people’s unhappiness with their governments. In particular, the economic plight of the people will not be redressed in the short run.
In the longer run, a year or two down the road, I see the countries mentioned above experiencing an economic turnaround as the governments becomes more responsive to the needs of the people.
I’m not seeing a lot of total regime change in the rest of the region in the near future. Much depends on how the revolution turns out in the three pilot countries that overthrew their dictators. If, as I predict, there is a significant improvement in the quality of life of ordinary people in the long run, this will fuel another revolutionary wave in a year or two.
In the meantime, I see a lot of countries with autocratic governments trying to head off the wave by making some concessions on human rights and more representative government. Also, as in Saudi Arabia, some governments are trying to provide direct economic support.
The crisis in Libya has impacted world oil prices. My reading is that this will be a short term blip on the economic world picture. Gaddafi will be deposed before the middle of March and then there will be a quick return to full oil production in Libya. In the meantime, Saudi Arabia is going to make up the shortfall on the world market with increased production.
The Great Recession will finally be at an end around the middle of 2011. I see a strong economic surge in the United States and the rest of the world for 2011. The stock market will continue strong throughout the year ending at about 14,500. Unfortunately unemployment will also remain relatively high. At the end of the year, I see unemployment at about 8 percent.
On the political front in the United States, we’re heading into a season of political gridlock with a Democratic president and Senate and a Republican House of Representatives with 87 freshman Republican members. The 112th Congress will go down in history as the least productive Congress ever in terms of important new legislation that is passed.
The Congress will have to deal with budget and debt ceiling issues. This is where the game of political chicken will come into play. In the 2010 elections, the Republicans rode a wave of popular support for instituting fiscal reforms of government.
However, delivering on these promises presents a challenging political landscape for them to navigate. They cannot really play their trump card and refuse to raise the debt ceiling or shut down the government by refusing to pass a budget. Thanks to Newt Gingrich’s failed 1995 strategy of government shutdown, they risk losing popular support if they go to this extreme.
The alternative is compromising with Obama and the Democrats. If they do this, then they risk being seen as hypocrites and individuals of weak principle. This makes establishment Republicans more vulnerable to the take no prisoners attitude of the Tea Party in subsequent elections.
My forecast is that they will continue to kick the can down the road with short term measures which put off the final decisions. It seems they have already done this with a two week continuing resolution to keep the government funded past March 4.
All of this endless bickering makes Obama look good by comparison since he is perceived as someone who can reach out to the Republicans and make compromises as he did on the extension of the Bush era tax cuts to the wealthiest for two years.
As the economic situation improves in the United States and the world, the focus on deficit and debt will become less of a front burner concern for ordinary Americans. Moreover, the fiscal measures so important to the Republicans will result in reduced government services and benefits to the average citizen. This will fuel a Democratic wave in the 2012 elections.
I see some really interesting technological breakthroughs happening in 2011. There will be new energy innovations offering the promise of a world not dependent on the burning of fossil fuels. Alien disclosure plays a role in this because it demonstrates the feasibility of new energy sources. The aliens did not get to our shores by conventional energetic means.
Also some alien technology derived from crashed alien spacecraft has been in the closet for many years and can now come into play.
I see a whole spectrum of new energy technologies coming into being in 2011. I do not see cold fusion as being one of them. However, I do see one form of new energy using water as the raw material and splitting off the hydrogen and the oxygen.
On the biological frontier in 2011, I see the cloning of a human being. Also I see progress in stem cell research that offers the prospect of being able to reprogram adult stem cells to regenerate organs.
On the computer front, there will be a technology breakthrough that uses light to store and transmit information.
Stay tuned for a really exciting 2011.
Interdimensional Times 